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India’s net GST collections stood at ₹1.78 trillion in March, reflecting an 8.2% year-on-year increase after accounting for tax refunds, according to official data released on Wednesday. This marks the highest monthly collection since April 2025, when revenues had reached a record ₹2.09 trillion.

Gross Collections Cross ₹2 Trillion Mark

Before adjusting for refunds, gross GST collections touched ₹2 trillion, registering an 8.8% annual growth. This is the first instance since May 2025 that gross collections have crossed the ₹2 trillion milestone, after coming close in January 2026.

Refunds play a key role in the GST system. Exporters are reimbursed for taxes embedded in outbound shipments, while domestic businesses can claim refunds in cases where input taxes exceed their final tax liability due to structural imbalances.

Boost from Economic Activity and Year-End Trends

The rise in collections reflects resilient economic activity, along with year-end inventory adjustments by businesses. The March numbers also suggest that tax buoyancy is stabilising following the GST rate rationalisation implemented on September 22, which policymakers believe will support consumption over time.

Growth Outlook with Global Risks

India’s economy is projected to grow at around 7.6% in the current financial year, as per the second advance estimates released in February. However, rising geopolitical tensions—particularly the conflict involving the US and Israel with Iran, and the resulting volatility in global energy markets—pose potential downside risks to the growth outlook.

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